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Oversold bounce — RSI < 35 within an uptrend

RSI(14) < 35 · price above SMA(200)

A setup for a bounce inside a rally. It differs from plain oversold by a trend condition: the coin has been sold off, but price is still above the 200-day average.

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How it looks on a chart

Signal criteria

Pullback

RSI(14) below 35 on daily candles

Trend

Closing price above the SMA(200) — the drop looks like a pullback, not a broken trend

What it means

Oversold on its own is noisy. It gains meaning when it coincides with an uptrend. That is why this is a setup: it sends notifications — unlike plain oversold.

Common mistakes

Without the SMA(200) condition the setup turns into bottom-fishing
A pullback can grow into a reversal: price loses the SMA(200) and the condition the setup relied on disappears

Coins with this signal now

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What happened after the signal

Matches in 90 days 21

Median after 24h +0.18%

Median after 7 days −5.30%

Positive after 7 days 43%

Statistics over the median of daily closing prices after setup matches during the last 90 days (fees and slippage not included). Past values do not predict future moves and are not investment advice.

Works together with

One signal is rarely enough. These test the same idea from another angle.

state Oscillators Oversold coins — RSI below 30 RSI(14) < 30 setup Trend Trend pullback — RSI 40–55 in an uptrend regime SMA(50) > SMA(200) · RSI(14) 40–55 state Momentum and volume Volume spike — RVOL above 2× RVOL ≥ 2 · day volume vs 20-day average

Educational disclaimer

Technical signals are observed indicator states, not a forecast. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice.